Monday, September 9, 2024

Hayek, Friedman, Mises, and Rothbard on The Political Economy of Free Speech

Hayek, Friedman, Mises, and Rothbard on The Political Economy of Free Speech

To most people the issue of freedom of speech is a constitutional issue and a civil liberties matter.  But a number of free-market economists have written about it while insisting that one cannot separate political and economic freedom when it comes to freedom of speech.  Among them are F.A. Hayek, Milton Friedman, Ludwig von Mises, and Murray Rothbard.

Friedman

In a 1979 article entitled “The Economics of Free Speech”[1] Milton Friedman declared that “there is a clear and direct relationship between economic arrangements, on the one hand, and free speech on the other.”[2]  In a very Austrian-sounding argument, Friedman begins by noting the importance of property rights, the first prerequisite for economic freedom.  In a totalitarian socialist system, he said, a “small group” that wanted to advocate capitalism would run into such problems as, who would rent them a hall if all halls are owned by the government?  How would they find a printing press if all printing presses are owned by the state?  If all paper were sold by the government printing company, would there be a problem in procuring paper as well?   And, where would the money come from if all income drives from government paychecks?  The government certainly will not pay for “subversive doctrines.”

This is all obvious today, but in 1979 there will still many academic defenders of Soviet socialism who would have argued with Friedman about this, perhaps even Paul Samuelson who, in the 1988 edition of his famous textbook predicted that by the year 2000 Soviet GDP would be larger than U.S. GDP.

What Friedman called “the relationship between economic arrangements and free speech” is close long before one is trapped in a full-blown socialist society.  He pointed to “businessmen” who have been denied free speech rights in the U.S. because of the explosive growth of government regulation over the decades (See “Ten Thousand Commandments,” published annually by the Competitive Enterprise Institute).  Fear of “bureaucratic strangulation” as revenge for criticizing government is one thing that Friedman points out, along with a similar fear of IRS audits and antitrust lawsuits.

Government does indeed have hundreds of weapons with which it can attack American citizens who criticize its declarations, mandates, taxes, policies, and corruption.  It has been honing these tools of oppression ever since the beginning of the republic.  The Adams administration outlawed free political speech altogether with its “Sedition Act” when the ink was barely dry on the Bill of Rights.  It imprisoned journalists who criticized the administration and even imprisoned a congressman, Mathew Lyons of Vermont, for criticizing Adams on the floor of the House of Representatives.  That ended when Thomas Jefferson replaced Adams.

Lincoln imprisoned tens of thousands of Northern-state citizens without due process for merely criticizing him and his administration; shut down some 300 opposition newspapers; censored telegraph communication, and deported his biggest congressional critic, Rep. Clement Vallandigham of Ohio.[3]  This made it easier for Woodrow Wilson, in the next century, to bring back another Sedition Act and imprison people for merely reading the Bill of Rights in public and opposing military conscription and American entry into World War I.  More than 2,000 Americans were imprisoned, some sentenced to twenty years, for “disloyal” speech during the manufactured panic that was drummed up to support the war.

Indeed, a major theme of Robert Higgs’s Crisis and Leviathan is that “emergencies” – real and fabricated – have always been used as excuses to abolish civil liberties, first among them being freedom of speech.[4]  The state always keeps these tools of oppression ready to go at a moment’s notice, as it did during the recent phony and politically-orchestrated “pandemic.” All of this makes Friedman’s comments about threats to freedom of speech by mealy-mouthed business executives seem trivial in comparison.

There may be a few businessmen who criticize government, said Friedman, but “the public statements of business leaders are almost always bland.  They talk in general germs about the evils of government regulation and about the importance of free enterprise, but . . . they are very careful not to be too specific.”[5]  Indeed, “We have to do business with these people” is a common refrain from business people who are routinely threatened or extorted by regulators and tax collectors and who do not wish to attract the state’s ire.

It is ironic that Friedman gave this speech in the same year that he and his wife Rose published their iconic book, Free to Choose.  That book includes several lengthy discussions of the Chicago School capture theory of regulation as applied to the railroad, trucking, and airline industries.  It apparently did not occur to Friedman that if rent-seeking corporations (and their unions) could “capture” government agencies that regulate railroads, trucking, and airlines, they could also capture at least part of the state’s censorship apparatus, perhaps starting with its Federal Communications Commission.

This was of course on display in spades in recent years with the nearly airtight censorship of any criticisms of the pharmaceutical industry during the “covid pandemic,” not to mention the defense contracting industries.  It was not full-blown totalitarian socialism, as Friedman said, but rather a form of fascism with government and businesses “collaborating” to create profits for themselves at the expense of the public, all in the name of “public health,” the latest fascist euphemism for “the public good.”  No government agencies are more “captured” in this sense than the Centers for Disease Control and the National Institutes of Health.[6]

Friedman also discussed how government funding corrupted his “colleagues” in the medical school at the University of Chicago, “most of whom are supported in their research by grants from the National Institute of Health,” and his economics department colleagues “who are receiving grants from the National Science Foundation.”[7]  That was in 1979.  Government funding – and control – of research and publication in all academic disciplines is many orders of magnitude greater than it was in 1979 and so, necessarily, is de facto censorship of views that are disapproved by government-funding agencies.

It was a scandal of monumental proportions that only a few physicians in the entire United States spoke up against the fraudulent PCR tests that were used to grossly inflate the number of covid “cases,” and worse yet, the conflating of “death from covid” with “death with covid” on death certificates.  They did so because the hospitals there are affiliated with received tens of thousands of dollars from the government for each death associated with covid.  (Jump out of an airplane and your parachute doesn’t open, and you will declared to have died from covid if it is detected in the autopsy).

In 1977 Michael Jensen and William Meckling published an article entitled “Between Freedom and Democracy” which was complementary to Friedman’s analysis in which they discuss how the growth of government corrupts journalism and leads to censorship of “unpopular” ideas.[8]  Their thesis was straightforward:  Since government regulations, controls, mandates, and spending are so pervasive in so many areas, your typical journalist relies crucially on information from government agencies to do his job.  An environmental reporter must have access to the Environmental Protection Agencies and federal and state levels.  A foreign policy reporter relies on information from the Pentagon, and so forth.

What this means is that journalists are threatened with being shut out of their main information sources – and their careers ruined – if they are too critical of the government agencies that they cover.  In this way the growth of government destroys honest journalism and breeds censorship.  That was written in 1977.  This phenomenon has metastasized since then to the point that the “mainstream media” is essentially, with very few exceptions, the propaganda arm of the Washington establishment, primarily the Democrat party and the militaristic wing of the Republican party (which is almost all of that party).

Hayek

The eleventh chapter of The Road to Serfdom is entitled “The End of Truth” and discusses the historical imperative on all planned, totalitarian states throughout history to destroy freedom of speech as much as possible so that the only “truth” is that which is announced by the state.[9]  Persuasion, research, scholarship, debate, and discussion are replaced by “official” government announcements.  Like Friedman, Hayek describes full-blown totalitarianism but the whole point of the book is to warn that the democratic countries of his time seemed to be on the road to totalitarianism, whether they recognized it or not.

Again, today’s America seems much further down that road than it was in 1943 when The Road to Serfdom was first published.  The Left all over the world is the cultural Marxist Left and it refuses to seriously debate.  Disagree with them, and you are “cancelled,” libeled, slandered, and there may be calls for you to be fired from your job, thrown out of school, and vanished from acceptable society.  It is what Jeff Deist calls a “post-persuasion society.”

Hayek’s analysis is deeper than Friedman’s.  He points out, for example, that the consequences of such totalitarian behavior are profound because abandoning the search for truth is “destructive of all morals” since it “undermines one of the foundations of all morals:  the sense and respect for the truth.”  He also points out that for centuries “various theoreticians of the totalitarian system” have made the-ends-justify-the-means-style arguments by constructing mountains of “social myths.”  Hayek could have been referring to 2023 instead of 1943 when he wrote that to totalitarians, “minority opinions must be silenced” and “every act of government must become sacrosanct and exempt from criticism.”

Preceding Friedman by almost four decades, Hayek remarked that academe must also be corrupted, for “the disinterested search for truth cannot be allowed in a totalitarian system.”  This is especially true in the disciplines of history, law, and economics, he wrote.  All three of these disciplines are thoroughly statist with powerful left-wing biases.

Anticipating Herbert Marcuse and his “repressive tolerance” doctrine that seems to completely dominate academe today, Hayek also wrote that in totalitarian societies “intolerance . . . is openly extolled.” (Marcuse’s now wildly-popular and heavily enforced theory is that only the “oppressed classes” deserve to have freedom of speech, not the “oppressor class.”[10]  Today’s cultural Marxists have defined the “oppressor class” as white heterosexual males of European descent, with just about everyone else being oppressed by this “class.”  It is all thoroughly collectivist and Marxist, with behavior being determined by one’s “class.”  Methodological individualism in particular, and individualism in general, are ignored or denigrated.  The poorest white people who live in plywood shacks in the Louisiana Bayou are said to “oppress” black Wall Street and Beverly Hills millionaires, millionaire athletes, and the Obama family, by definition, because of the racial class they belong to.

Mises

In Liberalism: In the Classical Tradition, Ludwig von Mises wrote in section 12 on “Tolerance” that “The burning of heretics, inquisitorial persecutions, religious wars” all “belong to history.” Writing in the early twentieth century, Mises declared victory for classical liberalism over the idea that the church had “the right to regulate . . . affairs of this world” and not just “the relationship of man to the world to come . . .”

This victory has obviously been overturned in today’s world.  While there are no burning of heretics (so far), there have been thousands of ritualistic persecutions of people with the “wrong” ideas, predominantly classical liberal ideas.  There are organizations such as the Southern Poverty Law Center, the recipient of many millions in government grants and an advisor to the Department of Homeland Security and other government agencies, whose primary function is apparently to libel and smear prominent critics of “progressivism,” the latest shady euphemism for totalitarian socialism.[11]

There may not be “religious wars,” as Mises said, but there is a war on religion because religion, like the nuclear family, stands between the individual and the state and the latter’s compulsion for totalitarian power.  This section of Liberalism is entitled “Tolerance” but it in fact calls for a type of intolerance:  “Liberalism . . . must be intolerant of every kind of intolerance,” wrote Mises, for if “one considers the peaceful cooperation of all men as the goal of social evolution, one cannot permit the peace to be disturbed by priests and fanatics.”  In today’s world the “priests” are the high priests of the cult of progressivism or cultural Marxism who dominate the academic world and much of politics.

Rothbard

In his essay “Anatomy of the State” Murray Rothbard explained that mere bribery or payoffs to political supporters is never enough to secure enduring political power.  The majority of the population must be bamboozled into believing that “their government is good, wise, and, at least, inevitable . . .”  Pounding this into the heads of the populace, wrote Rothbard, is the task of “intellectuals.”  As a class, such government propagandists are “court historians” whose job is to portray the state as essentially divine, while warning of the evils and dangers of the civil society, private enterprise, and social cooperation.

So the state’s own glorious portrayal of itself is preached far and wide by the “intellectuals” who are in turn paid for their efforts with government funding, jobs, and prestige.  The greatest danger to the state is “independent intellectual criticism” which must therefore be stamped out.  That is another job of the “intellectuals” – the censorship of criticisms of government actions.

History plays an important role here, as states write and rewrite national histories to portray their predecessors as super virtuous and God-like.  The Lincoln myth would be a good example of this phenomenon.  I consider this to be the ideological cornerstone of American statism.  Once such myths are invented and the population is indoctrinated in them, then “any raiser of new doubts” and “any isolated voice” must be attacked as “a profane violator of the wisdom of his ancestors.”

Another tactic of censorship, said Rothbard, is to “deprecate the individual and exalt the collectivity of society.”  Hayek would have agreed with this statement, having written in The Constitution of Liberty that individual responsibility – facing the consequences of one’s actions – is a prerequisite for a free society.[12]  It is also something that totalitarians everywhere work mightily to denigrate and destroy, said Hayek.   Any new ideas that challenge the state-as-deity idea must always be nipped in the bud by harsh ridicule, wrote Rothbard.

Writing decades before hardly anyone in America had heard of Anthony “I am Science” Fauci, Rothbard wrote that another tool of censorship is the result of the theory of “the divine right of the state” of medieval times being replaced by “a new god,” namely, “science.”  “State rule is now proclaimed as being ultrascientific,” he says, leading to greater and greater assaults on common sense.  He cites Keynesian economics as Exhibit A in this regard.  A thief who “justifies” his theft by arguing that when he spends the money it will stimulate the local economy would be ridiculed by anyone with an ounce of common sense, said Rothbard.  But if the theft (aka taxation) is hidden behind the language of “multiplier effects,” “stimulus packages,” “stabilization policy,” “injections and leakages,” and other scientific-sounding macroeconomic lingo the public will acquiesce.

Conclusions

For about the past half century now, American youth (and youth of other countries as well) have been indoctrinated in the idea that they are taking the moral high road by participating in campus riots, shouting and screaming demonstrations, and other efforts aimed at censoring any and all libertarian or conservative speech.  They are the intellectual sons and daughters of the old communist theorist, Herbert Marcuse, and his doctrine of “oppressive tolerance.”

This has occurred because there was very little intellectual pushback in terms of education about the virtues of freedom of speech.  Even the American Civil Liberties Union long ago abandoned its defense of civil liberties in favor of promoting “progressive” politics.

The defense of freedom of speech is not the exclusive domain of legal or constitutional scholars; prominent free-market economists have made powerful cases for freedom of speech for decades, and they are in dire need of being expanded and taught far and wide — before it’s too late.

[1] Kurt R. Leube, editor, The Essence of Friedman.  Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 1987, pp. 9-17.

[2] Ibid, 9.

[3] Thomas DiLorenzo, The Real Lincoln.  New York:  Three Rivers Press/Random House, 2002.

[4]Robert Higgs, Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government.  New York: Oxford University Press, 1987.

[5] Ibid., 11.

[6]Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.  The Real Anthony Fauci.  New York:  Simon and Schuster, 2022.

[7] Friedman, p. 11.

[8] Michael Jensen and William Meckling, “Between Freedom and Democracy.”  The Banker.  October 1977, pp. 39-49.

[9] F.A. Hayek, The Road to Serfdom.  Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1976 edition.

[10] Herbert Marcuse, “Repressive Tolerance” (https://www.marcuse.org/herbert/publications/1960s/1965-repressive-tolerance-fulltext.html).

[11] Thomas DiLorenzo, “Racial Racketeering for Fun and Profit” (https://www.lewrockwell.com/2011/06/thomas-dilorenzo/racial-racketeering-for-fun-and-profit/).

[12] F.A. Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty.  Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1960, Chapter 5, “Responsibility and Freedom.”

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Sunday, September 8, 2024

Why the Ruling Class Fears Democracy

Why the Ruling Class Fears Democracy


A perfect storm of crises has been building. It comes from still bubbling rage with governments for their single-minded obsession with Covid and the lasting damage caused by lockdowns, masks, and vaccine mandates, with the media for amplifying government fear porn and social media platforms for collusion with innovative techniques of censorship, to the cost of living pressures, Ukraine war, and the crimes, housing crisis, cultural decay, and social dislocations of mass immigration. A survey earlier this year in France, Germany, Italy, and Poland found that 60 percent of voters lack trust in political institutions.

People have come to hold politicians to be dishonest, incompetent, and lacking courage and integrity. Being unheard and vilified has broken public trust in the underpinning institutions of democracy. In the 2024 Edelman Trust Barometer, less than half the people in high-income developed countries trust their government, media, business, and NGOs. 

In Australia, governments earned scores of -21 for competence and -5 for ethics. Pew Research Center polls show trust in the US government falling from 77 percent in 1964 to 22 percent in 2024.

Headlines capture a growing crisis of free speech and civil liberties that are a threat to Western liberal democracy with a transfer of power and rights from citizens to the state as the latter attempts to impose its dogmas on people, sometimes in defiance of biological reality. 

Online safety measures run the risk of turning into censors’ charters. Australia’s eSafety Commissioner wants to control what can be said online. In a strange legacy of our first female PM, a recent court judgment enshrined transgender rights at the cost of women’s rights, ruling that lesbians may not lawfully exclude biologically male but legally female persons from a women-only dating app. The case, believe it or not, is called Tickle v Giggle.

Europe and the UK

When the ruling elites talk about diversity, they mean state-enforced conformity. The sense that the established parties hold voters in contempt and treat them like mugs has produced election gains for so-called populist parties and movements from Italy to the Netherlands, Sweden, Finland, France, the UK, and Germany. ‘Populist’ is commonly used pejoratively by mainstream political leaders and media. A woman in Europe who complains of being stalked by a ‘visible minority’ immigrant risks being scolded as a racist, victim-shamed, and told to be quiet. A politician who talks up her fears is sneered at as populist.

Yet the word populist comes from the notion of the popular will to describe policies that are popular with a large number of voters who have come to believe that their concerns are derided and disregarded by the governing, cultural, corporate, intellectual, and media elites. Hence the revolt of the masses against the homogeneous political establishment and the scolds and sneers in the commentariat. The people have had enough and are refusing to take it anymore. Even white upper-class liberals living in leafy suburbs who previously didn’t care awaken to the problems of the mass influx of migrants once the latter infiltrate their neighbourhood.

The threat from populists has provoked efforts by the establishment parties to nobble the upstart newcomers and the media to vilify them. This only creates a vicious cycle and generates more support for populists. In addition, as activist protestors and judges take to lawfare to frustrate governments’ ability to govern, the proliferating thickets of laws, checks, and balances have led to a condition of ‘legal impossibilism,’ in the words of Jaroslaw KaczyÅ„ski, the former prime minister of Poland. 

France has arrested Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, because he refused to comply with authorities’ demands for greater restrictions on the popular app. Durov’s arrest is problematic because it is not possible to quarantine the extraordinary privacy-destroying surveillance powers of the state targeting criminals and terrorists from those engaged in peaceful protests and even humdrum everyday conversations. The crackdown by the Trudeau government on the truckers’ Freedom Convoy demonstrated this in vivid technicolour.

In Germany, a right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) politician has been fined for posting that Afghan immigrants are disproportionately likely to commit sexual violence against women and girls. She was convicted not of misinformation – she was citing official statistics – but for inciting hatred. In the two-weekend state elections that followed, the AfD won a plurality of votes (30-33 percent) in Thuringia and neighbouring Saxony. The party’s votes among the youth were particularly impressive: 38 percent of the 18–24 year-olds in Thuringia and 31 percent in Saxony.

The AfD and a new far-left party together polled almost half the votes in Thuringia and over 40 percent in Saxony. Many analysts interpreted the results as ‘less the rise of the far right than the collapse of Olaf Scholz’s ruling coalition.’ I believe however that the main story is that in country after country, instead of listening to and heeding their voters, the politicians are telling voters what they should believe, think, and say, and how they should vote. And then screaming ‘Far Right! Far Right!’ when voters look to alternatives to the mainstream parties.

In the UK, the Starmer government wants to ban hateful beliefs and speech and is also considering tackling extreme misogyny (what is moderate misogyny?) under anti-terrorism laws. On another culture wars front, police are recording more non-crime hate incidents (you know, the Orwellian category of lawful but harmful words and acts) than ever before, despite the previous Tory government having supposedly curtailed the practice. Pride in British history plummeted from 86 percent in 1995 to 64 percent last year. This will only worsen if teachers are to be trained to challenge ‘whiteness’ in schools.

People are being sentenced to one to three years in prison for posting and reposting comments on social media, yet actual physical assaults on women for wearing Western dress and makeup and for sexual assault and penetration as part of a grooming gang, earn suspended sentences. There’s also speculation that the government might criminalise Islamophobia, further entrenching the division between protected groups and, shall we say, Britain’s indigenous peoples. Deepening perceptions of two-tier laws, policing, and justice will continue to erode the legitimacy of the state.

Meanwhile, carmakers are rationing deliveries of petrol and hybrid vehicles to dealers/customers in order to avoid fines for failing to meet EV targets set by the government as a percentage of total sales. Once this used to be a hallmark of communist regimes organised around the command model of the economy. Hence the contention that EV mandates for manufacturers prove that Britain is no longer a free country. Dr David McGrogan of Northumbria Law School is full of dark forebodings that the growing hostility between the increasingly sullen people and the bossy Starmer government will not end well for Britain.

Last month Thierry Breton, an EU commissioner, wrote to Elon Musk with a regulatory warning over potentially harmful comments in the scheduled Musk-Donald Trump interview on X. Because the audience would include EU viewers, Breton asserted a right to limit what Americans can hear from one of the two major presidential candidates. Brazil has moved to an outright ban of X and will fine anyone who accesses it through a virtual private network (VPN).

Canada and the US

In Canada, regulators have been given carte blanche by the courts to subject professionals like Jordan Petersen to Maoist ‘reeducation’ courses for commenting on social and political issues, in their own time and on their own platforms outside their professional consulting rooms and roles. To make it even more like Alice in Wonderland, in Petersen’s case he apparently needs lessons in the use of social media.

The US weight in the democratic world is such that what happens in America doesn’t stay in America. Of course, I’m not a US citizen or resident, have neither vote nor voice in US elections, and have no party affiliation or allegiance. As such I have no partisan dog in the fight, so to say. My interest in this particular election is mainly what it implies for the health of democratic practices and freedoms. The rest of the world also has a stake in the outcome in terms of what it could mean for us, including prospects for war and nuclear war.

President Joe Biden’s growing physical frailty and cognitive deterioration were evident well before the start of the year. Consistent with existing norms and practices, Democratic Party elders could have tried to persuade Biden not to seek a second term. If he’d refused, they could have organised an open 2024 presidential primary and publicly encouraged other candidates to enter the fray. Had Kamala Harris emerged triumphant, dispelling doubts left over from 2020 about her electability, the outcome would have reaffirmed the democratic process for choosing the party nominee.

Instead, Democratic powerbrokers chose to act on a timeline that subverted internal party democracy. The exceptionally early Biden-Trump debate in June, which cruelled Biden’s ambition for a second term, led to a stage-managed process to crown Kamala Harris without a high-risk primary. Maureen Dowd argued in the New York Times that the party had engineered a ‘a jaw-dropping putsch’ to oust Biden and install Harris. 

Victor Davis Hanson argued in the New York Post that in fact the Democrats were guilty of three successive coups. In 2020, the party elders ‘ossified’ the primary races to weed out other challengers; they conferred the nomination on a cognitively challenged Biden; and this year they defenestrated him despite his incumbency and a 14-million-vote decisive primary victory. ‘In the name of saving democracy,’ said Robert F Kennedy, Jr, the Democratic Party ‘set itself to dismantling it’ by silencing opposition, disenfranchising primary voters, and resorting to censorship, media control, and the weaponisation of federal agencies.

The strategy owes much to Harris’s flawed candidacy as an electoral liability with a record of failing upwards. Megyn Kelly explained on 24 July how a young Harris slept her way into politics and into power in California in the mid-1990s on the back of an affair with Democratic powerbroker Willie Brown. Harris was elected Attorney General of California, a deep blue state, in 2010 with less than one percent margin when other Democrats won landslide victories. Her 2020 primary run collapsed with spectacular swiftness. 

She didn’t contest this year’s primary. ‘How did the Democratic party choose a candidate that has never done an interview or debate during the entire election cycle?’ Kennedy asked. Zero votes, zero press conferences or interviews (until the CNN love-in with Dana Bash), zero town hall meetings with questions from a live and unvetted audience.

Harris remains potentially vulnerable in the home stretch as a double diversity candidate who wasn’t chosen by party voters but anointed by the DC elite backed by the Democratic-adjacent media, Hollywood celebrities, and wealthy donors. She is an empty signifier who means whatever her interpreter-voter wants her to mean. She’s a black woman of Jamaican heritage to one audience and an Asian of Indian heritage to another. Has anyone asked her for her views on the Supreme Court ruling that struck down Harvard’s race-based affirmative action admission policies that had discriminated in favour of blacks to the detriment of Asian-Americans in particular? I’d love to hear the answer, assuming it is intelligible.

Harris is the archetypical progressive California Democrat for whom the solution to every problem is more government. At various times she has supported slavery reparations, racial and gender identity, elimination of private health insurance, cuts to police budgets, BLM rioters, decriminalisation of illegal immigration, and health insurance coverage for the border crossers (two powerful ‘root causes’ of the problem), sweeping state diktats on what to drive and eat in pursuit of net zero, and federally legislated abortion almost to full term. She holds joint ownership of the administration’s policy failures, from the porous southern border to inflation, student debt cancellation, and the shambolic Afghanistan withdrawal. What did Harris know about Biden’s failing health and when did she know he was no longer fit to serve?

Harris is addicted to babbling word salads, prudently resists being separated from the teleprompter, delivers set-piece remarks to friendly audiences, and suffered high staff turnovers in the 2020 primary run and again in the Office of the VP. The few policy details she has outlined raise questions about her grasp of economic policy.

The pre-Democratic nominee Harris is on record for clearly believing that social media platforms should not be able to communicate information to the people directly without government oversight and regulation. 

According to Michael Shellenberger, Harris and Tim Walz would implement Brazil-style three-pronged censorship to fight ‘misinformation’ and ‘hate speech:’ ‘censorship of election “misinformation,” deplatforming political opponents, and cross-platform bans, which ban a person not just from one social media platform but from many or even all of them.’ 

Today ‘liberal’ means anything but. Consider. They claim to be compassionate, kind, inclusive, anti-racist, anti-sexist, committed to social justice for all. In reality, they are merciless, hateful, intolerant, racist towards whites, anti-male (except for trans males claiming the right to invade women’s spaces and sports), and destructive of the foundational pillars of the justice system.

Asked separately for reasons to vote for Trump and Harris, Amazon’s virtual assistant Alexa replied to the first (Trump) ‘I cannot provide content that promotes a specific political party or a specific candidate’. But it answered the second (Harris) sometimes by giving reasons like ‘a proven track record of accomplishment,’ ‘commitment to progressive ideals and a focus on helping disenfranchised communities,’ and breaking the gender barrier. But Amazon rejects suggestions of political bias. Of course it does.

Should Harris win despite her public record, it would be the triumph of a party elite ruthless enough to bribe, manipulate, censor, and intimidate its way into staying in power. It may be impossible to fool all the people all the time. But that’s not necessary. All that’s needed is to dupe a plurality of voters once every four years to maintain the shell but subvert the substance of democracy. Australians believe that the mob always works politicians out. A Harris victory will prove instead that the blob has worked out American voters.

Of course Trump could also pose a threat to US democracy. However, a reelected Trump will face serious pushback from the public institutions and media. By contrast, a Harris administration would have the full support of the Washington, corporate, and media elites. In that case, the systemwide threat to democracy, embedded in the surveillance state, would be further consolidated and entrenched.

Imperil Democracy in Haste, Regret the Loss in Leisure

Born in India a year after independence, I grew up taking for granted the reality of multiparty democracy that draws legitimacy from the people through competitive elections and constitutionally protected liberties and freedoms. I left India in 1971 to pursue graduate studies in Canada and returned to India for doctoral research in 1975, based in New Delhi. In June of that year, Prime Minister Indira Gandhi declared a national emergency and ruled for two years as a dictator, jailing political opponents and critics, imposing wide-ranging media censorship, and curtailing civil liberties. 

My first academic article was a lament for the loss of democratic freedoms in India.

My overall lessons from that ‘lived’ experience? First, we tend not to really appreciate the rarity and value of a free society until we lose it. Second, democracy rests ultimately in a belief in the good sense of the people. I fear that in two months, should American voters elect Kamala Harris as the next president, they will discover the truth of the first and invalidate the second lesson.



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  • Ramesh Thakur, a Brownstone Institute Senior Scholar, is a former United Nations Assistant Secretary-General, and emeritus professor in the Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

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Saturday, September 7, 2024

Now Comes the “Good Squad” and the Great Realignment

Now Comes the “Good Squad” and the Great Realignment

When in the course of history’s twists and turns dire necessity becomes the mother of invention the hour is usually late. That’s the case with America’s septic fiscal derangement at the present time. There is simply not a snowball’s chance in the hot place that either the Trumpified GOP or the beltway blob-controlled Democrats will lift a finger to deflect America’s fiscal doomsday machine from its appointed rendezvous with disaster.

The latter stems from the UniParty’s bargain with the fiscal devil. It amounts to a coalition of convenience dedicated to the fierce perpetuation of the fiscal status quo at all corners of the budget.

For its part, the Trumpified GOP now says it will no longer be accused by the Dems of planning to throw granny out into the snow. Instead, its very own party platform now says no cuts from Medicare or Social Security. Not even a single thin dime is to be squeezed from what will be the staggering $36 trillion cost of these two programs over the next decade.The Great Money Bubble... Stockman, David A. Best Price: $2.09 Buy New $9.46 (as of 06:14 UTC - Details)

That’s right. Neither wing of the UniParty will now even utter the words entitlement reform or spending cuts in the same sentence with Social Security, which alone will cost $20 trillion over the next decade, or Medicare, which will clock in at $16 trillion.

The GOP also reiterates its long standing refrain of no tax increases in any way, shape or form. In fact, it calls for an extension of the expiring Trump tax cut (2025) at a deficit cost of $4.5 trillion over the next decade.

Such an extension, however, would bring down Federal revenues to an average of

just 16.5% of GDP—the lowest level since the 1950s. And, no, it won’t even out in the wash of higher “growth” either because CBO’s Rosy Scenario already assumes loads of cumulative real growth owing to no recession or any other economic upset for the next

10-years. Effectively, CBO’s 2.0% real growth with no recession for a decade is the same thing as 3.0% growth interrupted by a normal cyclical downturn and recovery.

In any event, the resulting revenue number of $58 trillion over the 2025-2034 decade would actually give the idea of soaring red ink an altogether new definition. That’s because the baseline spending level during the same period according to CBO’s latest projections is just under $85 trillion or 24% of GDP. So as the Trumpified GOP would have it, Joe Biden’s parting public debt of $36 trillion would reach upwards of $65 trillion by the mid 2030s.

At the same time, the Beltway Blob on the Dem side of the aisle is dug in deeply on the Medicaid/ObamaCare complex and safety net programs like Food Stamps, SSI, unemployment insurance, family tax credits and child nutrition, which would cost about $13 trillion over the decade. And when push comes to shove in the cauldron of legislative battle, the GOP doesn’t have the cojones to dislodge the Dem defenses in this corner of the budget, either, despite rampant abuse and weak to non-existent work requirements for most of these programs.

Finally, we come to the Forever Wars, the Washington global hegemon, the military/industrial/intelligence/security assistance complex and the $15 trillion of baseline spending over the next decade for defense, international relations and veterans.  As it happens, the neocons, war-hawks, the internationalist busy-bodies and the beltway racketeers which infest both parties have locked up this bulging corner of the budget tighter than a drum. In fact, there is so much loose change seeping through the budgetary cracks of this $15 trillion Warfare State bonanza that the defense think tanks, international NGO’s and multitudinous military contractor lobbying arms are in high clover. The massively swollen national security budget thus funds its own lobbying and self-justification force—a self-licking ice cream cone, as it were.

Therefore, and to summarize: From a slate of $85 trillion of total baseline spending over the next decade we have the following UniParty “No Go”” zones:

  • Medicare and Social Security: $36 trillion.
  • Medicaid, ObamaCare and the Safety Net: $13 trillion.
  • The National Security Budget: $15 trillion;
  • Net Interest on the Debt: $13 trillion.
  • Total UniParty No-Go Zones: $77 trillion.
  • Percent of Baseline Spending: 91%.

In short, the frozen in place UniParty fiscal equation amounts to—

  • A revenue take at 17% of GDP at best.
  • Politically frozen spending at 24% of GDP—or far worse in the likely event that the weighted average cost of Treasury debt happens to rise above the absurdly low 3.0% level assumed by CBO.
  • Annual deficits of 7-8% of GDP or 2X the assumed nominal GDP growth rate as far as the eye can see.
  • A runaway public debt that reaches $65 trillion by 2034 and 166% of GDP or $150 trillion by 2050.

Needless to say, long before the public debt reached $150 trillion the financial system would implode because even the Keynesian mad-men, mad-women and mad-theys domiciled in the Eccles Building couldn’t come up with an excuse to monetize even a small share of the tsunami of public debt now coming down the pike. And make no mistake, the only reason we are at $36 trillion today is that the Fed has enabled it politically. That is, by massively monetizing the public debt it has temporarily deferred what would have otherwise been a severe crowding out of private borrowers and escalation of yields in the bond pits.

Still, we don’t think that the public debt will get to the financial implosion point because we do not believe that American democracy is inherently suicidal. In fact, even in the context of today’s tightening fiscal vice we see the emergent shadows of a path to resolution or at least a stick-save not too far down the treacherous road ahead.

To wit, it is now exceedingly likely that Donald Trump will not only win the 2024 election, but it is also possiblethat his return to the Oval Office could trigger the Great Realignment that might finally shatter the UniParty’s death grip on the fiscal equation.

To be sure, we italicize the “possible” part for good reason: The Donald is one of the most unstable, inconsistent and unpredictable politicians to ever prance upon the stage of presidential politics in America—so anything can happen, even a worse mis-governance disaster than his first time around the barn.

But our impression is that he is bitterly resentful of the manner in which the UniParty and its RINO wing undermined and ruined his first presidency. So this time he may actually allow himself to be guided and re-directed by the fantastic posse of brilliant dissidents— Robert Kennedy, Nicole Shanahan, Tulsi Gabbard, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tucker Carlson, Elon Musk and JD Vance—who have recently joined or rallied to his campaign. Call it the Good Squad.

Indeed, it is this flying wedge of anti-Washington statesmen and intellects that could constructively harness and channel the Donald’s own inchoate instincts to drain the swamp. If their natural leader, RFK, can use his c0-chairmanship of the transition organization to keep the neocons, RINOs and anti-abortion howlers out of the key posts in the next administration, it would make all the difference in the world. And if he could manage to parlay that role into Chief of Staff and de facto deputy president after the inauguration it would obviously be all to the better.

That’s because the GOP needs a big purge. It has been hijacked and led astray from is core fiscal mission during recent decades by ideological factions—neocons, tax cons, right to lifers, nativists and militant nationalists. But during a Trump Administration, which is led or strongly influenced by the Good Squad, the Donald’s promise to settle the Ukraine disaster quickly via partition of the artificial country that Lenin, Stalin and Khrushchev built could trigger the very realignment that is sorely needed.

To wit, much of the neocon Never Trumper brigade has already migrated to the Dems and will cement their departure through specious claims of being “Republicans for Kamala” during the balance of the campaign. But where the potential deal of the century with Putin will have its biggest impact on the Realignment will be among the neocon ranks of Republicans on Capitol Hill.

Upon the Kennedy-Trump led rapprochement with Putin, these befuddled souls will either—

  • Retire from Congress disconsolately.
  • Switch parties to join the rest of the bitter-end Never Trumpers.
  • Or, in the main, see that their whole world view was wrong. That is, after a deal to split up Ukraine, Estonia did not fall, Poland remained free, the Brandenburg Gate was still visited by tourists not Russian troops, and that, alas, NATO could be disbanded with no harm done to Homeland Security.

In turn, what amounts to bringing the Empire Home could finally pave the way for breaking the fiscal deadlock. A Trump foreign policy formulated by the Good Squad would enable at least a 50% cut in defense spending and $5 trillion of savings from the baseline National Security budget over the next decade.The Great Deformation:... David Stockman Best Price: $4.26 Buy New $8.99 (as of 05:50 UTC - Details)

Beyond that, we seriously doubt that even the Good Squad could talk the Donald out of his 10% across the board tariff. But if it is applied to all of America’s $3 trillion of annual imports and not used as a club to start an economic war with China, so be it. A VAT (value added tax) would be a better instrument—but a Trumpified stealthy version might function as a second best alternative under the circumstances.

In any event, a stealthy VAT could generate $3-4 trillion of incremental revenue over a decade, without getting into the mischievous and counter-productive business of raising income, payroll or corporate taxes. And with the fiscal ball rolling in this manner, it is conceivable that another $4 trillion in interest savings, corporate boondoggles, green energy waste and the like might also be cobbled together by a realigned government led by the Good Squad.

Needless to say, $13 trillion of savings over the next decade would decisively stifle the current race to fiscal doom.

Finally, what happens if by some off chance Kamala wins? Or if the Good Squad gets squeezed out and shunted aside in a second Trump White House by the same protectionist, nativist and right-wing loonies who screwed the pooch the first time around?

Well, that’s why Bobby Kennedy will remain on the ballot in 40 states and thereby have the electoral base for a Realigned Anti-Washington Party in 2028. Coalesced around the leadership of the Good Squad and after 4 years of dismal partisan warfare between Kamala and the old guard GOP on Capitol Hill the electorate could be fairly begging for a Realignment next time around.

Reprinted with permission from David Stockman’s Contra Corner.

Friday, September 6, 2024

Deep State Provoking War Worldwide

Deep State Provoking War Worldwide

It was the United States, not Russia, that started the war in Ukraine back in 2014. It’s not the intent of this column to go into the details of this issue, but notable freedomists such as Judge Andrew Napolitano, Col. Douglas Macgregor, Clayton Morris, Professor Jeffrey Sachs, former British diplomat Alastair Crooke, former Marine Corps Intelligence Officer (Major) and former Chief U.N. Weapons Inspector Scott Ritter, former CIA Analyst Larry Johnson and several others have detailed Washington’s nefarious and deliberate provocations of Russia in Ukraine over the last ten years.The Great Surreptitiou... Paul, Ron Buy New $25.00 (as of 06:44 UTC - Details)

Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky is nothing more than a U.S. puppet. He doesn’t give a hoot in Hades about the Ukrainian people. They are being slaughtered en masse, but Zelensky keeps using his people as cannon fodder anyway. Ukraine is doomed. If Putin wanted to, he could conquer Ukraine before the November elections. The death toll among the Ukrainian population is staggering. Zelensky has already sent young people and prisoners to the battlefield, and now he wants to send old men. And Zelensky is not even president anymore. His term of office expired, and he refused to hold an election. Only a U.S. puppet president could get away with that.

The United States is giving him billions of dollars in CASH to keep its proxy war against Russia going. We also send billions in CASH to Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu. But D.C. is pushing hard to remove cash from the American people. Think about that.

Biden and Harris and the War Party in Congress will fight their proxy war to the last Ukrainian.

It is the Deep State in Washington, D.C., that is doing everything it can to provoke Russia into war with the West. And if they succeed, a nuclear war with Russia would be a war with the country that has the most nuclear warheads of any country in the world.

Then there is the world’s most notable warmonger, Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, who is committing ethnic cleansing and genocide in Gaza. Netanyahu is a top-tier Deep State asset. In addition to Gaza, Netanyahu is attacking the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria and Iran.

Along with Russia, the Deep State is doing everything it can to provoke Iran into a war with the West. But Iran’s leaders are not stupid; neither are they impulsive. They know that time is on their side—not Israel’s.

As I wrote last week in this column, if Israel continues its warmongering ways, its collapse might not be far away. Israel’s economy is in tatters. Hundreds of thousands of Israelis marched in the streets last weekend demanding a ceasefire agreement. The largest labor union in Israel called for a national strike—which is almost unprecedented. Tourism (one of Israel’s largest industries) is non-existent. Airlines refuse to fly into Israel. The flow of goods into Israel is only a shadow of what it was (except for the delivery of U.S. bombs and missiles every week). Israelis are fleeing the country by the hundreds of thousands—maybe millions.

Netanyahu believes that his only chance for his personal survival is to provoke Iran into all-out war and force the United States to come to Israel’s defense. And he is the Deep State’s main man in the Middle East, so it is doing all it can to help Netanyahu succeed.

Think about this, folks: If Netanyahu succeeds in provoking Iran into an all-out war, Israel would positively be destroyed, and if the United States came full force to Israel’s defense, it would become a global war with both Russia and China. And that would mean a full-scale nuclear war, which would doubtless annihilate all of the countries involved—including America. It would also mean the almost total shutdown of the distribution of oil coming out of the Middle East. Think about what that would mean for the West.

All of this for the sake of an antichrist, apartheid state about the size of New Jersey.

But most evangelicals are actually salivating over the possibility of a global nuclear war over Israel, as they believe that will signal the “Rapture,” and they will be taken to Heaven. Therefore, in truth, evangelicals are NOT supporting Israel; they are using Israel to take them to the “Rapture.” Of course, there is no “Rapture,” and these deluded evangelicals will endure the consequences of this global incineration along with everyone else.

But I digress.

So, we have the Deep State provoking potential nuclear war with Russia in Europe, provoking potential nuclear war with the world’s major powers, including the U.S., Russia and China, in the Middle East, and now D.C. decides to provoke Venezuela into open hostilities.

While Joe Biden was sunbathing on the beach over the Labor Day weekend, D.C. seized Venezuela’s equivalent of its Air Force One jetliner.

Jared Yanis posted a short video with the report of the U.S. seizing Venezuela’s presidential jet. Venezuela’s president Nicolas Maduro was not on the plane when it was seized.

Now, I have zero empathy for the thuggish dictator Maduro, but here goes D.C. again trying to provoke another country into a conflagration.

Do you think it is a coincidence that we are hearing reports of violent Venezuelan gangs operating in the United States at the same time that D.C. decides to seize the Venezuelan version of Air Force One?

Biden’s criminal policy to not just allow but also finance and facilitate tens of millions of illegals into the United States (using primarily an Israeli NGO called Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society that receives hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars—in CASH) includes thousands of gang members from Venezuela. Many of these gang members were released from prison by Maduro and sent to Biden’s open arms in America. These are ruthless, violent men who are now roaming the streets and bringing their violent criminal behavior to U.S. cities.

I’m sure most people reading this column are already aware of the criminal activities of the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua in Denver, Colorado, and surrounding cities, such as Aurora.

Here is a FOX News report out of Aurora:

Mayor Mike Coffman announced on Friday that the city is starting the process of clearing the apartment buildings where transnational armed gang Tren de Aragua has taken over.

In a statement posted to Facebook, Coffman shared “the Aurora City Attorney’s Office is preparing court documents to request an emergency court order to clear the apartment buildings where Venezuelan gang activity has been occurring by declaring the properties a ‘Criminal Nuisance.’”

“This will require a municipal judge to issue the order with the goal of getting these properties back under the control of the property owners. In the meantime, the law enforcement task force set up to disrupt and arrest Venezuelan gang members in these buildings will continue its operation. I strongly believe that the best course of action is to shut these building[s] down and make sure that this never happens again,” concluded Coffman.

One has already been picked up. In an email to Fox News Digital, Aurora Police Department confirmed that Tren de Aragua leader “Cookie Monster” is currently in custody in relation to a shooting on July 28.

Fox 31 reports that the men seen in the video that has gone viral are armed members of the Tren de Aragua gang, according to Department of Homeland Security sources.

It took a courageous city councilwoman by the name of Danielle Jurinsky to blow the lid off by publicly reporting the criminal activity of the Venezuelan gang taking place in her city. The pro-illegal invasion governor of Colorado, Jared Polis, said the gang violence was “largely a feature of Danielle Jurinsky’s imagination.”

As you know, Denver is a sanctuary city.

And here is a brief video regarding the safety precautions that churches in the Denver area need to take to protect themselves from potential violence from this Venezuelan gang. 

Former Border Patrol Agent in Charge J. J. Carrell has meticulously described the Venezuelan gang activity in Chicago, Illinois. We have also heard numerous reports of Venezuelan gang activity in New York City.

So, now that the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua has thousands of gang members living and operating in U.S. cities, the Deep State decides to seize the Venezuelan president’s jet. Just a coincidence, right?

U.S. government officials said that seizing Venezuela’s Air Force One was sending a signal that “no one is above the law.”

What a crock! Washington, D.C., is loaded with lawbreakers, and I don’t mean the ones walking the streets. I’m talking about the ones sitting in Congress and the White House. That’s where the real criminal activity is taking place.

What the Deep State did was wave a bull fighter’s red muleta in front of a bull. It is provoking the Venezuelan gang members in the U.S. into violence against the American people—as if they needed any provocation.

Once again, the Deep State is doing what it does best: provoking war all over the world and even within our own country.

And there is one more thing the Deep State does well, and that’s selecting the president and most members of Congress.

You still don’t know who they are?

Reprinted with permission from Chuck Baldwin Live.

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